Service Plays Saturday 3/26/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What Bettors Need to Know: Mavericks at Jazz

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz (N/A)

THE STORY: Another 50-win season is in the books for the Dallas Mavericks. Next up is dealing with a six-game road trip that will determine their chances at the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. Dallas opens the trip against the Utah Jazz on Saturday and doesn’t play at home again until April 6. One of the road games will be against the Los Angeles Lakers on March 31 - the team the Mavericks are battling for the second seed. The Mavericks defeated Minnesota on Thursday for their 11th consecutive 50-win season, one shy of the NBA record shared by the Lakers (1979-91) and San Antonio. The Spurs’ streak includes this season’s 50-win campaign.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, FSSW, FSUT

ABOUT THE JAZZ (36-37): Utah has lost four straight games to fall below .500 for the first time since early November and the latest defeat was excruciating. The Jazz lost 121-117 in overtime to the New Orleans Hornets after a crazy sequence at the end of regulation. Paul Millsap hit two free throws with 1.3 seconds but New Orleans’ Emeka Okafor hit a wild 20-foot bank shot to force overtime, causing coach Ty Corbin to regret not having Millsap intentionally miss the second free throw. Millsap had 33 points and 11 rebounds for his second 30-point outing in four games. Utah was without starters Devin Harris (hamstring) and Andrei Kirilenko (knee) and both players are in jeopardy of missing the Dallas game. Utah is 5-14 since Corbin replaced Jerry Sloan as coach.

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (50-21): Dallas has a league-best 24-10 road record as it enters the six-game, nine-day trip that includes three back-to-backs. The Mavericks play at Phoenix on Sunday, head to Los Angeles for games against the Clippers on Wednesday and Lakers on Thursday and then face Golden State on April 2 and Portland on April 3. Dirk Nowitzki had 30 points and 11 rebounds in Thursday’s 104-96 victory over Minnesota and has led the Mavericks in scoring in nine straight games. Shawn Marion returned from a wrist injury and had 17 points. Jason Kidd had 13 assists and is averaging 10.6 points over the past five contests. Kidd is eighth in the NBA in assists at 8.5 per game.

WHO'S HOT/WHO’S NOT: Nowitzki is averaging 26.7 points and 10 rebounds over the last six contests. Millsap is averaging 25.3 points and 8.5 rebounds over the last four outings. Kidd is averaging just 4.2 points over the last six games and has made just 5 of 27 3-point shots. Utah guard Raja Bell is shooting just 28 percent over the last four contests.

KEY STATISTIC: Utah has allowed 100 or more points in eight straight games and 16 of its last 18. The Jazz are giving up 111.4 over the past eight contests to raise their season average to 101.8. Dallas averages 100.3 per game.

SEASON SERIES: Dallas has swept three meetings, including a 93-81 win in Salt Lake City on Dec. 3. The Mavericks won at home twice – 103-97 on Dec. 11 and 118-99 on Feb. 23.

KEY INJURIES: DALLAS: G Dominique Jones (foot); F Caron Butler (knee). UTAH: G Devin Harris (hamstring); F Andrei Kirilenko (knee).

KEY TRENDS: Dallas is 11-3 in its last 14 road games.
Utah is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 home games.
Dallas has covered just three times in its last 16 games in Utah.

LAST WORD: “Since the All-Star break we haven’t quite had that swag and the best way to get it is to go into other people’s house and kick their butts and take names. We got some tough teams, some possible playoff opponents, so we’re going to have to come out and be consistent and impose our will on the other opponent.” – Mavericks guard Jason Terry on the importance of the six-game road trip.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll

Saturday's Best NBA Bets

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz (N/A)

The Utah Jazz did everything to overcome injuries to Andrei Kirilenko and Devin Harris on Thursday, but ended up dropping a heartbreaking 121-117 overtime loss to the New Orleans Hornets.

Paul Millsap was a big part of the effort that got Utah backers to the pay window for the fourth time in six games, pouring in 33 points while adding 11 rebounds and three blocks. The 6-foot-8 forward is now averaging better than 25 points in his four games since coming back from a knee injury.

However, Millsap was at the center of some controversy when he was at the free-throw line with only 1.3 seconds left in regulation and Utah up 105-103.

"It's a tough loss," Jazz coach Tyrone Corbin told reporters. "The guys had a great chance to win the ballgame. I probably should have told Paul to miss a free throw at the end of the ballgame ... but (New Orleans) made a tough shot to send it to overtime and they won the game."

That shot was a 20-foot, desperation effort from Emeka Okafor that sent the game to overtime. The Jazz may not have Kirilenko and Harris back for Saturday, but they’ll show up again against the Mavs.

Pick: N/A

Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons (pick ‘em, 204)

Not that the Indiana Pacers have been much of a money maker for bettors at the best of times this season – checking in just under .500 against the spread this season – but they’re been absolutely terrible against the number in the second half of back-to-backs.

Indiana is home to Sacramento Friday night before traveling to Detroit for Saturday’s game and is only 5-15 against the number in these situations.

It’s an even playing field for this matchup as Detroit is also in action at the lowly Cavaliers on Friday, but the Pistons are 8-10 against the spread playing on consecutive days.

Detroit has been tough lately, beating Miami and New York while suffering a tough loss at Atlanta and we expected to see the Pistons favored here on the early line.

Pick: Pistons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Night In Canada: NHL Betting Preview
By Bill McBride

Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings (-185, 5.5)

Points have become precious for the Maple Leafs, who are making things interesting down the stretch as they battle for the No. 8 seed in the East. The Red Wings don’t have those concerns, but should be eager to snap a late-season losing streak.

Maple March

Despite trading away names like Tomas Kaberle and Kris Versteeg, the Maple Leafs orchestrated an impressive March. They will take a 7-5 mark into this Original Six matchup and have won three in a row.

Goaltender James Reimer has been the difference. He’s won all three on this current streak and hasn’t allowed more than three goals in any of those games.

Detroit will be a different beast, but the confidence has to be high and that starts from the net out.

Rough run against royalty

The Red Wings are saddled with a surprising three-game skid and what has to be alarming, especially this late in the year, is that they’re losing to clubs that could give them trouble in the playoffs.

On Wednesday, they lost to Vancouver, 2-1. On Monday, they lost to Pittsburgh, 5-4, in overtime. They even lost to upstart Nashville, 3-1, Saturday night.

But when you’re the Red Wings, you do not panic. And really, there’s no need to. Coach Mike Babcock’s group is still in first place in the Central Division and if the season ended Thursday night, the Red Wings would be the No. 2 seed in the West.

Osgood not good

How many terrific postseason runs have been keyed by goaltender Chris Osgood? Enough to know that being without him might be a problem moving forward.

Osgood has a lingering groin injury and just this week, Detroit put him on long-term injured reserve. The playoffs are not out of the question for him and Osgood, at this point of his career, is simply insurance for Jimmy Howard.

That said, it’d sure be nice to have that veteran presence on the bench at crunch time. Minor-leaguer Joey MacDonald isn’t going to strike fear in opponents, should he be called on to replace Howard.

History

The Red Wings registered a 5-1 win over the Maple Leafs on Nov. 5, 2009. But don’t look much into that game. Osgood and Jonas Gustavsson were in net for it.

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers (+160, 5.5)

Edmonton continues to make CBC work extra hard to make these nightcaps appealing. The Oilers have been a mess in March, but there is some value in watching the Flames, who are in a mad dash for the No. 8 seed in the West.

Sad streak

Edmonton was wiped off the board, 4-0, versus St. Louis Thursday, and so the bad beat goes on in March. The Oilers will carry an 0-6-2 skid into this game and they haven’t scored more than two goals in the last eight outings.

Jordan Eberle beat Nashville goaltender Pekka Rinne at 9:38 of the second period on a power play Tuesday. It’s been Edmonton’s only goal this week, as it has been outscored in two losses, 7-1, to Nashville and St. Louis.

A Flame out?

Perhaps seeing a team that’s been worse than they’ve been the last few days might just inspire Calgary in front of the national audience. After all, a terrific second-half run is in jeopardy, as the Flames flutter through March.

Calgary’s 6-3 loss at San Jose Wednesday was the Flames’ third in a row, though they squeezed a point out of the first two. But that’s not going to cut it in the Western Conference playoff race, especially when you’ve lost six out of seven overall.

Not so Taylor made

There are plenty of reasons for Edmonton’s late stumble. But you have to think the absence of Taylor Hall has played a major part.

After injuring his ankle and being shut down for the year after his first NHL fight, a less-than-memorable scrap with Columbus’ Derek Dorsett, the Oilers are just 1-8.

History

The Oilers might be the perfect tonic for the Flames, who are already 3-1 against them this season. On New Year’s Day, Calgary notched a 2-1 victory. There’s an even split in the totals category, with two overs and unders.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Clipped Red Wings host Toronto
By: Barry Daniels

The Toronto Maple Leafs, fighting for their playoff lives, bring a three-game winning streak into Detroit on Saturday night to play an injured Wings squad that is in the midst of a three-game losing skid. The NHL network will televise the contest from Joe Louis Arena starting at 4 p.m. (PT).

The overnight line from Sports Club has the Wings as hefty 220 home favorites, with the total set at 5½ goals.

Toronto is coming off Thursday’s 4-3 victory against the Colorado Avs as a slight 110 road favorite. It was Toronto’s seventh win in their last 10 away games and evened the club’s road ledger at 17-17-2-1.

More importantly, the victory moved the Leafs three points behind the Buffalo Sabres for the eighth and final Eastern Conference playoff spot. The two teams will meet next Tuesday in Toronto.

Though the combined seven goals skipped ‘over’ the 5½-goal closing total, the ‘under’ is still 39-34-2 in Toronto’s first 75 overall outings.

Nikolai Kulemin had a huge night for the Leafs, scoring twice in the first period to reach 28 goals on the season. Phil Kessel picked up his first goal in six games, giving him a team-leading 29. He is now one shy of hitting 30 for the third year in a row.

Goalie James Reimer continued his solid play, robbing Milan Hejduk twice and Ryan Stoa once on the same shift as the Avs pressed for the equalizer late in the second period. Reimer finished with 25 saves and raised his record to 17-7-2-2. He also gas a 2.51 GAA, a nifty .924 save percentage and three shutouts.

Toronto, now 15-8-3 since the all-star break, is still having difficulty putting the puck in the opposition’s net. The Leafs are averaging 2.6 goals per game and are connecting on just 16 percent of their power play chances. They rank 24th in both categories.

Detroit saw its losing skid reach three games with Wednesday’s 2-1 setback against Vancouver as a 110 home favorite. It was the Wings’ sixth loss in their last 10 games and allowed San Jose to tie them for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with 95 points.

The combined three goals dipped below the 5½-goal closing total, leaving the ‘under’ 6-2 in Detroit’s last eight games.

Goal scoring is not normally a problem for the Wings, evidenced by their No. 3 offensive ranking at 3.2 GPG. However, the Wings have now notched two goals or less in six of their last 10 games.

Much of the goal-scoring slump can be attributed to a slew of injuries to Detroit’s top forwards. That trend could continue Friday, as the Don Best Sports injury report lists Pavel Datsyuk, Johan Franzen and Todd Bertuzzi as “doubtful.”

Datsyuk, Detroit’s No. 2 offensive threat with 22 goals and 35 assists, has missed the club’s last three games with a lower body injury. Franzen, with 27 goals and 24 assists, has sat out the last two contests with a groin injury.

Goaltending and defense continue to be a concern for the Wings. Jimmy Howard has dropped six of his last nine starts and has a bloated 2.77 GAA in 57 appearances. He also has an unimpressive .909 save percentage and just two shutouts.

Detroit ranks 17th defensively, allowing 2.8 goals per game. It’s a good thing the Wings are whistled for the fewest penalties in the league because their penalty killing ranks a mediocre 14th with an 83.1 percent success rate.

This will be the only meeting between these two Original Six franchises, but Toronto has captured the last three matchups and four of the last five. The ‘over’ is 6-3-1 in the last 10 overall meetings and 4-1 in the last five at Joe Louis Arena.

Toronto is off until next Tuesday when the club hosts Buffalo. Detroit continues its five-game homestand Monday against the defending champion Blackhawks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice Picks

Saturday's Best NHL Bets

New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres (-125, 5)

After a terrific run, the New Jersey Devils’ margin for error is down to just about zero. They lost for the third time in four games on Tuesday, falling 4-1 to the Bruins.

The Devils came out of the gate quickly and outshot Boston 16-7 in the first period, but they took four penalties in the second session and Boston turned the tide.

"Tonight was a tight game, and we did a couple of uncharacteristic things and got out of our game a little bit, but we still feel confident in our game,” Brian Rolston told reporters after the loss. “We're still one of the best, if not the best team the second half as far as our stats, and we have to feel that way and feel confident about that."

That sounds all well and good but the truth is New Jersey may have just run out of steam. Buffalo has a lot on the line here too and has already checked into playoff mode.

Pick: Sabres


Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators (-150, 5)

On paper Nashville’s 5-4 win over a surging Anaheim Ducks team looks pretty good – Sergei Kosyn scored twice and four other Predators picked up two points while Pekka Rinne made 34 saves in the team’s fifth straight win.

But coach Barry Trotz doesn’t want to hear any more about statistics. He ripped his team for trying to force the puck to Kosyn to get him the hat trick with Anaheim’s net empty and wasn’t happy about Nashville’s play in its own end either.

"To expose (Rinne) like that, that's not what we do. That's not a team thing," Trotz said. "We exposed him, not only to risking us two points in the game, but we exposed one of the top goaltenders to have to make some real acrobatic saves when he probably didn't have to."

When Trotz gets riled up, this team responds. This is a huge game for Dallas as well but the club’s recent injuries are exposing its lack of depth.

Pick: Predators

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 333-262 (.560)

BOSTON 3, N.Y. Rangers 2
LOS ANGELES 4, Colorado 2
BUFFALO 3, New Jersey 2
Washington vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Philadelphia vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Tampa Bay vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DETROIT 4, Toronto 2
NASHVILLE 3, Dallas 2
St. Louis vs. MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHICAGO 4, Anaheim 3
PHOENIX 3, San Jose 2
Calgary vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 3863-1332 (.744)
ATS: 1807-1836 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 4997-5113 (.494)
Over/Under: 1784-1813 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2299-2473 (.482)

NCAA Tournament
Southeast Regional Final at New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA
Florida 68, Butler 65
West Regional Final at Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Connecticut 78, Arizona 71
CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament
Semifinals at Johnson City, TN
Iona 72, EAST TENNESSEE STATE 70

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAA Elite Eight preview and pick: Florida vs. Butler

Florida Gators vs. Butler Bulldogs (+3, 132)

THE STORY: The last two NCAA tournament meetings between Florida and Butler were thrillers. Why should we expect anything different when the second-seeded Gators and eighth-seeded Bulldogs face off in the Southeast Regional final Saturday in New Orleans?

The Gators and Bulldogs met in the 2000 and 2007 NCAA tournaments and both games were terrific. Florida notched a 69-68 overtime win in the first round of the 2000 tourney on Mike Miller’s last-second basket. The powerful 2007 Gators had to rally for a 65-57 win over Butler in the Sweet 16 on their way to a second straight national title. Florida hasn’t been to the Final Four since that championship season, while Butler is looking for its second consecutive trip.

The Bulldogs lost to Duke in last season’s title game.

TV: 4:20 p.m. ET, CBS. ODDS: Florida -3

ABOUT FLORIDA (29-7, 17-14-1 ATS): The Gators had to work overtime, not to mention very hard, to defeat Brigham Young 83-74 on Thursday. Florida’s defense hounded Cougars’ star Jimmer Fredette into an 11-of-29 shooting night.

Forward Alex Tyus had the best game of his career with 19 points and a career-high 17 rebounds, making 8 of 9 shots. Guard Kenny Boynton scored 17 points, while guard Erving Walker and forward Chandler Parsons added 16 apiece. The Gators have won 13 of their last 15 contests, with both losses coming against SEC rival Kentucky. Florida began the tournament with wins over UC-Santa Barbara and UCLA before exacting revenge against BYU, which ousted the Gator from the tourney a season ago in double overtime.

ABOUT BUTLER (26-9, 18-13-2 ATS): The Bulldogs used a mostly-strong performance to dispatch Wisconsin 61-54 on Thursday for their 12th consecutive victory. Butler frustrated the Badgers into 30.4 percent shooting but the down side was allowing a 20-point second-half lead to diminish to four before holding on. The Bulldogs struggled against Wisconsin’s late-game pressing tactics and suddenly needed to step it up in the final minute to emerge victorious. Forward Matt Howard had 20 points and 12 rebounds in his third straight stellar performance, and guard Shelvin Mack scored 13 points. Butler opened the tournament with last-second wins over Old Dominion and Pittsburgh before having a relatively easy time with Wisconsin.

TRENDS:

- Bulldogs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 NCAA tournament games.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 NCAA tournament games.
- Under is 7-1 in Bulldogs' last eight NCAA tournament games.
- Over is 10-1 in Gators' last 11 NCAA tournament games.

UP NEXT: The winner advances to the Final Four on April 2, in Houston.

PREDICTION: Florida 74, Butler 70 – The Gators have the athletic edge over the Bulldogs and the recent emergence of Tyus could help Florida overcome another big performance by Howard.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pony picks: Saturday's best horse racing bets

The Dubai Carnival is some of the best gambling all year long. There’s a lot of class horses that rarely race against each other, and we have the ability of compairing the European pool with the American pool. That can sometimes lead to the best angle.

Fly Down – Interestingly this horse has never has run on a synthetic surface and that’s about all that’s interesting. In his last out as the favorite he was beaten by a horse that competed in the Breeders’ Cup Marathon. That’s not a good sign.

Monterosso – Has two wins over synthetic surfaces in England. It’s how he broke his maiden. Last year he won the Kind Edward, a Gr II event, but had difficulty as a favorite stepping up to Gr I twice. Have to think he’s a step below, though the surface switch is a good angle.

Prince Bishop – After 4 straight wins this Godolophin hopeful was pretty flat on the sythetic. Dettori has gone elsewhere, and probably a good idea for us bettors to do the same.

Cape Blanco – Hasn’t been seen since being the favorite in last year’s Arc. Aidan O’Brien is a great trainer, but this big a lay off stepping into even bigger company?

Gio Ponti - Passed on the Classic when it was on dirt for the mile and hasn’t been seen since. A bit of different tactic when this horse went in the World Cup Las year, but you have to like his chances on the synthetic against anyone in the world.

Victoire Pisa – Has back to back wins, but tough to know how he will fair on the synthetic. Having watched his Arima Kinen it seemed to me he had a pretty nice trip and things went his way. He did back it up with a another short priced win.

Musir – Was 3 for 3 last year, but has been beaten twice pretty fairly this year. Mike de Kock is probably just priming him for his best effort, which should be right there with the rest of them

Gitano Hernando – I’m just not a fan of this horse. He beat me at Santa Anita a couple years ago when I was on the Colonel John bandwagon and I just can’t get on this bandwagon now. Has been beaten pretty squarely the last two preps.

Transcend – A horse who has never been the distance, while his Japan Cup Dirt was an impressive run, I’m not sure the Dubai World Cup will be won by a front runner new to the distance.

Poet’s Voice – Dettori stays with this one, but was absolutely trounced two back going 10 panels. The surface switch can take some of that blame, but his only Gr I win is a mile on good to soft ground.

Richard’s Kid – I like taking the prep race, but that was a bad prep race.

Twice Over – Riding two wins this is your Morning line favorite. He was 3rd two years ago in the Breeders Cup over synthetic and has a good record over the stuff, but I don’t know… I’m liking the shippers in this race. I’m not sure how good the Musir’s and Gitano’s are and I’m going to look elsewhere.

Buena Vista – The year of the filly has been going on for a couple of years now. Starting with Rags to Riches, to Ouija Board, to Rachel to Zenyatta and this mare fits in with all of them. And absolutely devastating closing kick who has never been out of the frame. She has been to Meydan before last year finishing second to the great filly Dar Re Mi, so the shipping shouldn’t be an issue.

Buena Vista is my top pick, I’ll use Poet’s Voice and Gio Ponti after that.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pony picks: Saturday's best horse racing bets

The Dubai Carnival is some of the best gambling all year long. There’s a lot of class horses that rarely race against each other, and we have the ability of compairing the European pool with the American pool. That can sometimes lead to the best angle.

Fly Down – Interestingly this horse has never has run on a synthetic surface and that’s about all that’s interesting. In his last out as the favorite he was beaten by a horse that competed in the Breeders’ Cup Marathon. That’s not a good sign.

Monterosso – Has two wins over synthetic surfaces in England. It’s how he broke his maiden. Last year he won the Kind Edward, a Gr II event, but had difficulty as a favorite stepping up to Gr I twice. Have to think he’s a step below, though the surface switch is a good angle.

Prince Bishop – After 4 straight wins this Godolophin hopeful was pretty flat on the sythetic. Dettori has gone elsewhere, and probably a good idea for us bettors to do the same.

Cape Blanco – Hasn’t been seen since being the favorite in last year’s Arc. Aidan O’Brien is a great trainer, but this big a lay off stepping into even bigger company?

Gio Ponti - Passed on the Classic when it was on dirt for the mile and hasn’t been seen since. A bit of different tactic when this horse went in the World Cup Las year, but you have to like his chances on the synthetic against anyone in the world.

Victoire Pisa – Has back to back wins, but tough to know how he will fair on the synthetic. Having watched his Arima Kinen it seemed to me he had a pretty nice trip and things went his way. He did back it up with a another short priced win.

Musir – Was 3 for 3 last year, but has been beaten twice pretty fairly this year. Mike de Kock is probably just priming him for his best effort, which should be right there with the rest of them

Gitano Hernando – I’m just not a fan of this horse. He beat me at Santa Anita a couple years ago when I was on the Colonel John bandwagon and I just can’t get on this bandwagon now. Has been beaten pretty squarely the last two preps.

Transcend – A horse who has never been the distance, while his Japan Cup Dirt was an impressive run, I’m not sure the Dubai World Cup will be won by a front runner new to the distance.

Poet’s Voice – Dettori stays with this one, but was absolutely trounced two back going 10 panels. The surface switch can take some of that blame, but his only Gr I win is a mile on good to soft ground.

Richard’s Kid – I like taking the prep race, but that was a bad prep race.

Twice Over – Riding two wins this is your Morning line favorite. He was 3rd two years ago in the Breeders Cup over synthetic and has a good record over the stuff, but I don’t know… I’m liking the shippers in this race. I’m not sure how good the Musir’s and Gitano’s are and I’m going to look elsewhere.

Buena Vista – The year of the filly has been going on for a couple of years now. Starting with Rags to Riches, to Ouija Board, to Rachel to Zenyatta and this mare fits in with all of them. And absolutely devastating closing kick who has never been out of the frame. She has been to Meydan before last year finishing second to the great filly Dar Re Mi, so the shipping shouldn’t be an issue.

Buena Vista is my top pick, I’ll use Poet’s Voice and Gio Ponti after that.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Last-minute NCAA tournament Elite Eight betting tips

The road to the Final Four has one more stop this weekend before heading to Houston. The West and Southeast Regionals will crown a champ Saturday with the Elite Eight kicking off.

If you’ve slept through most of the tournament and slacked on your handicapping, here are some last-minute trends and statistics to help get you up to speed on Saturday’s NCAA tournament action.

Find more NCAA Tournament statistics, odds, game previews and betting trends on the NCAA scoreboard.

Butler Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators (-3, 131)

Oddsmakers opened the Gators as 3.5-point favorites but action on the underdog has moved this spread to -3. The total opened at 129.5 but took big money on the over, forcing a dramatic move to 131 points.

Florida advanced to the regional final with an 83-74 overtime victory against BYU Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point favorite. That win and cover improved the Gators to 13-3 ATS in their last 16 NCAA tournament contests.

Butler booked its spot in the Elite Eight with a 61-54 victory over Wisconsin as 4.5-point underdogs Thursday. The Bulldogs have also been solid come March, posting a 16-5 ATS record in their last 21 NCAA games.

Butler is 1-7 over/under in its last eight tournament tilts, going 2-7 over/under in its last nine games overall. Florida boasts a 10-1 over/under count in its last 11 NCAA games and is 18-6 over/under in its last 24 games overall.

No. 2 seeds are 4-4 ATS and over/under in the Elite Eight since 2007 while the SEC owns a 1-2 ATS mark and 3-0 over/under record in that span.

Arizona Wildcats vs. UConn Huskies (-2, 147)

Books opened the Huskies as 2-point chalk versus the Wildcats. That line dropped to -1.5 briefly before going back to its original post. The total opened at 145.5 and quickly climbed to 147 points before being bet back down to 145.5.

UConn continued its Cinderella run, defeating San Diego State 74-67 as a 2-point underdog. There was serious sharp money moving that spread Thursday, with the number going to Connecticut -1 before wise guys took it all the way to +2 in the hours before tipoff. The Huskies win over the Aztecs was their eighth straight win and cover, starting that streak in the opening round of the Big East tournament.

Arizona stunned the defending national champs, bashing Duke 93-77 as a 9-point underdog Thursday. The Wildcats trailed by as many eight points in the second half before breaking the game wide open and outscoring the Blue Devils 55-33 in the second half. That improved Arizona to 10-4 ATS in its last 14 NCAA games.

The Wildcats has posted a 6-1-1 over/under record in their last eight games versus Big East opponents and are 9-2 over/under in their last 12 NCAA tournament contests. UConn is 4-0 over/under in its last four tilts with Pac-10 foes and is also 9-3 over/under in its last 12 tournament games.

The Big East owns a 4-3 ATS record and 6-1 over/under count in the Elite Eight over the past four seasons. The Pac-10 is 2-1 ATS and 1-2 over/under. No. 3 seeds have built a 1-5 ATS mark and a 6-0 over/under count in the regional finals since 2007 while No. 5 seeds are 2-0 ATS and 1-1 over/under in that time span.

 

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 700-309 (.694)
ATS: 537-517 (.509)
ATS Vary Units: 1267-1271 (.499)
Over/Under: 544-528 (.507)
Over/Under Vary Units: 647-638 (.504)

ATLANTA 96, New Jersey 88
CHARLOTTE 101, New York 98
DETROIT 100, Indiana 99
Chicago 91, MILWAUKEE 85
Dallas 104, UTAH 100
L.A. CLIPPERS 107, Toronto 100

 

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MMA Professor

UFC Fight Night Picks
Phil Davis (-280) over Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
John Hathaway (-300) over Kris McCray

 

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Don Wallace

NBA
503# - NEW JERSEY +10 (7:05 EST)

 

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616 - 460 57 % Run over 2 1/2 YEARS !

Free winner Sat: Over the total NBA Clippers

 

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Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Saturday

Predators -155

 

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Howie Hoops: Don't bail out on UConn bandwagon
By HOWARD KUSSOY

It's been a great ride sitting shotgun in the Connecticut bandwagon, and there still is time to jump on. The Huskies have won eight in a row and are carrying enough confidence to take down John Wooden's Bruins. They don't think they can be stopped, and their star player has proven he can't be.

In discussing Kemba Walker's play following Thursday's win over San Diego state, emerging freshman, and much-needed wingman, Jeremy Lamb summed it up best: "I'm still amazed by stuff he does, but I'm not surprised." Agreed.

The same could be said for Arizona forward Derrick Williams. Though he has been spectacular, forgetting the team's 19-2 run to finish off Duke, the Wildcats have been an inconsistent team that likely would have been eliminated by Texas if not for a referee's fast five-second count last week.

At 5-0 when backing UConn, we can't go against Kemba now. He has proven he can be depended on like a family member. And I have listened to Michael Corleone enough to know to not ever take sides against the family. Don't pull a Fredo. Stay loyal to the Huskies (-3).

Also, stay with our other Sweet 16 pick and take the Gators (-3), who finally are finding their groove, to pull out a tough battle against Butler.

Record: 17-5-1

Last night: Richmond (-10½), Ohio State (-5 ½)

 

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Arizona vs. Connecticut

The Wildcats look to take advantage of a Connecticut team that is Here are all of today's tournament games.6-14 ATS in its last 20 games as a favorite from 1 to 6 1/2 points. Arizona is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3). Here are all of today's games.
<table id="table3" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 38px; width: 566px;">SATURDAY, MARCH 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 513-514: Butler vs. Florida (4:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 65.302; Florida 72.390
Dunkel Line: Florida by 7
Vegas Line: Florida by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3 1/2)</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 515-516: Arizona vs. Connecticut (6:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 72.580; Connecticut 73.692
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 1
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 3
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3)</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 517-518: Iona at East Tennessee State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 62.698; East Tennessee State 61.232
Dunkel Line: Iona by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Tennessee State (+2 1/2)</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

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